Tue 15 Aug 2006
As I continue looking for a new home for my investment funds, I’ve been reading Winning On Wall Street, by Martin Zweig.
It’s a good read - I’d recommend it to anyone wanting to learn about taking a profit out of the stock market. It’s particularly appropriate to investors who want to put their money into the U.S. markets but is useful globally. One of Zweig’s main themes is his Super Model which aims to inform investors whether they should be fully invested in the markets or not. Zweig produces his Super Model by combining his Momentum Model and his Monetary Model and uses it to time his entries to and his exits from the stock market.
Zweig uses a monetary model to predict the market’s broad direction. There are three parts to the monetary model - The Prime Rate Indicator, The Fed Rate Indicator and the Installment Debt Indicator.
I’ve been trying to get to grips with the modelling. At the moment, the signals, both monetary and momentum, seem to indicate that the US markets are not exactly a strong buy. More good news will be needed before anyone should invest there.
Zweig’s performance has an investment adviser and tipster is extremely good, so I would judge that it’s worthwhile paying attention to what he has written.
